1.
Introduction
The tumor stage, size, grade, and necrosis (SSIGN) score was
reported in 2002 based on patients treated with radical
nephrectomy (RN) between 1970 and 1998 for clear cell
renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC)
[1] .It was developed due to the
limited prognostic ability offered by the TNM staging
system to predict death from renal cell carcinoma (RCC)
following RN, specifically for ccRCC. As such, the SSIGN
score incorporates several pathologic features (tumor size,
grade, and presence of coagulative necrosis) beyond TNM
stage that are predictive of survival following nephrectomy
[2–4]. Since its original description, the SSIGN score has
been externally validated
[5–8], compared favorably with
other prognostic models
[5], been included in guidelines
[9],
and is now being utilized to stratify patients for therapeutic
clinical trials and assess the role of biomarkers in predicting
survival for RCC patients
[10–15] .However, the original description and subsequent valida-
tions may not reflect current clinical practice. Important
changes have influenced survival for RCC patients since the
initial publication of the SSIGN score including significant
stage migration
[16]and the introduction of targeted agents
for metastatic RCC
[17] .In addition, the utilization of partial
nephrectomy (PN) for localized RCC has dramatically
increased in the past decade
[18] ,a procedure excluded
from the SSIGN score development. Finally, the original
description of the SSIGN score, and the subsequent valida-
tions, lacks long-term follow-up data and an assessment of
the competing risk of death from non-RCC causes.
Given the changes in the landscape of RCC management
since the inception of the SSIGN score and its ongoing
utilization in validating new biomarkers, we sought to
reassess the originally described cohort to evaluate the SSIGN
scorewith longer follow-up, investigate the competing risk of
non-RCC death, and evaluate the predictive ability of the
SSIGNscore in contemporary patientsmanagedwithbothRN
and PN.
2.
Materials and methods
2.1.
Patient selection
Following institutional review board approval, we queried the Mayo
Clinic Nephrectomy Registry to identify the 1801 patients treated with
RN for sporadic unilateral ccRCC between 1970 and 1998 who were used
to develop the Mayo Clinic SSIGN score
[1] .Of these patients, 6 declined
use of their medical records for research, leaving 1795 patients for
analysis. We also identified 1038 patients treated with RN and
767 patients treated with PN for sporadic unilateral ccRCC between
1999 and 2010 to serve as contemporary RN and PN cohorts.
2.2.
Clinicopathologic features
Clinical features assessed included age at surgery, sex, symptoms at
diagnosis, smoking history, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration
rate (eGFR; in ml/min per 1.73 m
2
), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group
(ECOG) performance status, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score, and
body mass index (BMI; in kg/m
2
). Patients with a palpable flank or
abdominal mass, discomfort, gross hematuria, acute onset varicocele, or
constitutional symptoms (rash, sweats, weight loss, fatigue, early satiety,
and/or anorexia) were considered symptomatic at presentation.
All pathologic specimens were reviewed by one urologic pathologist
(J.C.C.) blinded to patient outcome for identification of histologic
subtype, tumor size, 2010 TNM classification
[19], 2016 World Health
Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology grade (iden-
tical to the nuclear grading system used for the Mayo Clinic
Nephrectomy Registry and the development of the SSIGN score
[1,20,21]), coagulative necrosis, and sarcomatoid differentiation. The
original SSIGN score was developed using the 1997 TNM classification,
which has since been updated
[19]; all patients have been restaged to
reflect the current system, and the SSIGN scores are reflective of this
change (Supplementary Table 1). For example, patients with level
0 tumor thrombi were originally classified as pT3b in the 1997 system
and are now classified as pT3a. Because 2 points are added to the SSIGN
score for all pT3 tumors, this did not result in a change in the calculated
SSIGN score. Similarly, 2 points are added to the SSIGN score for both
pN1 and pN2 tumors from the 1997 system, which are now both
classified as pN1 in the 2010 system
[1].
2.3.
Patient outcome
Vital status for patients in the Nephrectomy Registry is updated yearly,
with the most current follow-up utilized for analysis. For patients who
died within the previous year, the cause of death is determined by death
certificate review. If patients visited our institution for metastatic RCC
within 6 mo of death, they are considered to have died of RCC. If the
death certificate does not support this conclusion, the medical history is
reviewed by an attending urologist to determine cause of death, which
may include verification with the patient’s local physician.
2.4.
Statistical methods
Continuous features were summarized with medians and interquartile
ranges (IQRs); categorical features were summarized with frequencies
and percentages. Comparisons of features between patients in the
original and contemporary RN cohorts and between patients in the
contemporary RN and PN cohorts were evaluated using Wilcoxon rank
sum and chi-square tests. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) was estimated
using the Kaplan-Meier method, with duration of follow-up calculated
from the date of surgery to the date of death or last follow-up.
Associations of the SSIGN score with death from RCC were evaluated
using univariable Cox proportional hazards regression models and
summarized with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
The predictive ability of the SSIGN score was summarized with a
bootstrap-corrected C-index. Additional multivariable models assessed
the effect of cohort assignment, M stage, and SSIGN score on outcome
within the RN cohorts. A separate analysis accounting for the competing
risk of non-RCC death was performed by calculating the adjusted
cumulative incidence of death from RCC
[22]. Proportional subdistribu-
tion models were used to assess associations of the SSIGN score with the
adjusted cumulative incidence of death from RCC and were summarized
with HRs and 95% CIs. Statistical analyses were performed using
SAS v.9.3 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA) or R v.3.1.1 (R Foundation
for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). All tests were two sided with
p
values
<
0.05 considered significant.
3.
Results
3.1.
Cohort characterization
Table 1summarizes the clinicopathologic features of the
3600 patients stratified by cohort. Comparing the original
E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y 7 1 ( 2 0 1 7 ) 6 6 5 – 6 7 3
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